Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.
Australian Government: Australia will provide Papua New Guinea with $600 million in 10 years to help rugby league teams enter Australia's top leagues.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The purpose of the opposition's impeachment is to evade the legal responsibility of its leader Li Zaiming by holding an early general election.
Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue should be dismissed immediately. The only way is for the ruling party members to vote for impeachment.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.